Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.151483 0.175194 0.201367 0.232399 0.268192 0.308184 0.356271
2025-11-23 0.113395 0.145009 0.183492 0.233776 0.297769 0.376531 0.480926
2025-11-30 0.093833 0.128669 0.174050 0.237487 0.323917 0.437661 0.598954
2025-12-07 0.077799 0.112950 0.161352 0.232849 0.335841 0.478998 0.693500
2025-12-14 0.066447 0.101367 0.151819 0.229991 0.348170 0.520398 0.791071
2025-12-21 0.059056 0.094174 0.147140 0.232795 0.367995 0.573542 0.910651
2025-12-28 0.054848 0.091072 0.147891 0.243432 0.400288 0.648123 1.070694
2026-01-04 0.050448 0.086966 0.146366 0.249925 0.426256 0.714983 1.225318
2026-01-11 0.046505 0.083033 0.144505 0.255365 0.450678 0.781339 1.385802
2026-01-18 0.042534 0.078504 0.141012 0.257400 0.469157 0.839125 1.537267
2026-01-25 0.038285 0.072924 0.134985 0.254107 0.477572 0.879845 1.662203
2026-02-01 0.033944 0.066635 0.126940 0.246101 0.476267 0.902609 1.756024
2026-02-08 0.031808 0.064340 0.126116 0.251758 0.501589 0.977669 1.958306
2026-02-15 0.029378 0.061187 0.123320 0.253294 0.519155 1.039971 2.143093
2026-02-22 0.027493 0.058888 0.121898 0.257313 0.541919 1.114418 2.359859
2026-03-01 0.024895 0.054794 0.116395 0.252289 0.545507 1.150648 2.501620
2026-03-08 0.022771 0.051451 0.112062 0.249194 0.552691 1.194755 2.664449
2026-03-15 0.021398 0.049594 0.110658 0.252230 0.573334 1.269090 2.900612
2026-03-22 0.020826 0.049466 0.112981 0.263752 0.613918 1.390373 3.254097
2026-03-29 0.019936 0.048499 0.113324 0.270784 0.645030 1.493768 3.577822
2026-04-05 0.019027 0.047380 0.113192 0.276677 0.674081 1.595317 3.908021
2026-04-12 0.017942 0.045708 0.111592 0.278880 0.694570 1.679053 4.204567
2026-04-19 0.016592 0.043225 0.107797 0.275314 0.700637 1.729288 4.424611